Senate Ratings Changes: North Carolina, New Hampshire, Minnesota

Senate Ratings Changes: North Carolina, New Hampshire, Minnesota

Another week is down the drain in the race for the Senate, and while our overall outlook is unchanged — a five to eight seat gain for the GOP — some of our ratings are in need of adjustments.

One of these comes as a surprise, as Sen. Kay Hagan (D-NC) is proving to be quite resilient.

Several Democrats privately expressed to us earlier this year their pessimism about Hagan’s chances. They didn’t…

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Democratic, Republican Party Favorable Ratings Now Similar

Democratic, Republican Party Favorable Ratings Now Similar

PRINCETON, NJ — Americans’ views of the Democratic and Republican parties are now similar, mainly because of their more positive ratings of the GOP. Since bottoming out at 28%last fall during the government shutdown, Americans’ opinions of the Republican Party have grown more positive and are nearly back to pre-shutdown levels. Over the same time period, ratings of the Democratic Party have…

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Kansas Senate Poll: Orman (I) beating GOP Incumbent Pat Roberts

Kansas Senate Poll: Orman (I) beating GOP Incumbent Pat Roberts

After the Democratic candidate dropped out earlier this month, a new Fox News poll of Kansas likely voters shows long-time Republican Sen. Pat Roberts is in trouble.That’s right.In Kansas, a state that isn’t just red, it’s deep red.

greg-ormanOn another front, majorities of likely voters in four battleground states, including Kansas, are unhappy with President Obama’s job performance and don’t feel the…

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Colorado: Udall (D) trails Gardner (R) in latest Senate Poll

Colorado: Udall (D) trails Gardner (R) in latest Senate Poll

September 18, 2014 – GOP Challenger Leads Udall In Colorado Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; More Than One-Third Are Voting Against Obama

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udall-gardnerColorado U.S. Sen. Mark Udall trails U.S. Rep. Cory Gardner, his Republican challenger, 48 – 40 percent among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Independent candidate Steve Shogan gets 8 percent.

W…

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New Hampshire Poll: Shaheen leads Scott Brown by 11 Points

New Hampshire Poll: Shaheen leads Scott Brown by 11 Points

In the immediate aftermath of New Hampshire’s 2014 primary elections, voters appear to be favoring incumbent candidates for now. According to the latest results of the New England College Poll, however, in most races Republican challengers are within striking distance. In a polling sample of 630 registered, likely voters, the incumbent candidate leads in each race with the largest margin in the…

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MSM won’t report Obama’s low poll numbers

MSM won’t report Obama’s low poll numbers

It’s no secret that television news has long been addicted to public opinion polls; decades ago, all three broadcast networks decided to partner with an influential newspaper (ABC News with the Washington Post; CBS News with the New York Times; and NBC News with the Wall Street Journal) to sponsor their own regular surveys for use in their political coverage.

Obama38That’s why it’s so extraordinary that…

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Trust in Mass Media Returns to All-Time Low

Trust in Mass Media Returns to All-Time Low

WASHINGTON, D.C. — After registering slightly higher trust last year, Americans’ confidence in the media’s ability to report “the news fully, accurately, and fairly” has returned to its previous all-time low of 40%. Americans’ trust in mass media has generally been edging downward from higher levels in the late 1990s and the early 2000s.

Prior to 2004, Americans placed more trust in mass media…

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Amid Crucial Senate Race, Alaskans’ Independence Grows

Amid Crucial Senate Race, Alaskans’ Independence Grows

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Amid a tight race for a U.S. Senate seat from Alaska, a growing proportion of Alaskans, now 59%, identify as political independents. At the same time, there are recent lows in the percentage of Alaskans identifying as Republicans (25%) and the percentage identifying as Democrats (13%). These shifts create a more challenging political landscape for the campaigns of both…

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What Is a Wave in the Senate?

What Is a Wave in the Senate?

For several months, we’ve held steady on our range of expected gains for Republicans in the Senate: a net of four to eight seats. With Labor Day in the rearview mirror and with less than 55 days to go until the midterms, we’re giving Republicans a slight bump: Our new range is a Republican net of five to eight Senate seats.

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This means that the best-case scenario we can now envision for Democrats…

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WSJ/NBC Poll - Americans Now Favor GOP on Immigration

WSJ/NBC Poll – Americans Now Favor GOP on Immigration

Americans are now more likely to trust Republicans to handle immigration, and less likely to support legislation backed by most Democrats giving illegal immigrants a pathway to citizenship, a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds.

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These shifts in public opinion come in the wake of a spring and summer surge in Central American children illegally crossing the southwest border.

Republicans…

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